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Textile and apparel industry current situation analysis of foreign trade
2015-05-15
How the current situation of foreign trade textile and garment industry in our country, with small make up to look at.First emerging market growth be main market downturn, secondly unilateral export quotas in our country has the highest...
1 ~ 4 month this year our country textile clothing exports fell by 2.7%, this caused the personage inside course of study.What causes decline in exports?How to interpret the situation of the current grim situation of foreign trade?
The main emerging market growth be market declines
Concerned personage analysis according to the China national textiles import and export chamber of commerce, the United States, Japan, the European Union are the three main export market of our country textile clothing, also led the main constitution for export.Due to the European Union, Japan is affected by the economic downturn, the market, consumers lack of willingness to spend, make importers will no longer have a positive and strong purchase intention.Recovery in the U.S. market to a certain extent, plus the dollar against the RMB exchange rate basically stable, the market in the United States exports relatively steady momentum.As a result, the three main pull only American markets in support of the market, for an example of image analogy, is "three legs fold the two".
Emerging markets, although our country in recent years, growing in the emerging market development efforts, has achieved some success, but for represented by the association of south-east Asian nations (asean), Brazil, Russia, export growth in emerging markets, it is not enough to compensate the traditional vacuum market declines.Due to economic sanctions against Russia, the market is difficult.Represented by Vietnam, Cambodia's asean countries rapid export growth, the absorbed a large number of controlled cost price from China lost fair product order.Thus, in general, our export market is undergoing structural changes.
Unilateral export quotas in our country has the highest
According to data released by the customs general administration, China in April this year, our country textile clothing export $19.88 billion, fell 16.3% year on year;April before our country textile clothing export for $79.64 billion, fell 2.7% year on year, the textile exports fell by 0.5%, clothing exports fell by 4.2%.And experienced sustained export growth over the years, people have grown accustomed to see double-digit growth.
Industry analysts pointed out that in recent 10 years, our country's textile export basic are growing at double-digit rate, China's unilateral in the international market share is rising.According to wto statistics, China's share of share of the total international spinning weaving clothing trade has grown to 37% of the teens from 10 years ago.As the export of asean countries such as Vietnam, Cambodia, China's share will be slow growth, will continue to surge in space is very limited.
Industry export arrival inflection point?
Before march this year, our country textile clothing export after big ups and downs to maintain a small growth.3 month before our country textile clothing export volume was $59.78 billion, up 2.8% from a year earlier, than the first growth fell by 14.2% in February this year.Some analysts believe that in the first quarter of export fluctuations are under the influence of the festival, is unable to accurately judge the trend, but it has exposed the industry exports faced with larger pressure;And April's continued falling further to firm up the case on the judgment.
Guangdong textile industry &trade group co., LTD., guangdong textile import and export group co., LTD., vice President of Zheng Shaosan thinks, the textile and apparel export market situation is more serious than digital display, from the whole the international environment to see, now in addition to the U.S. market is relatively prosperous, other regional situation is very grim.Which in addition to raw material prices, exchange rate effect is the main reason, especially the yuan's rise against the euro, making China's exports to Europe is more difficult.
Although the current export enterprise widespread high pressure, but on the arrival inflection point is still too early to judge our country textile clothing export trade.Analysts pointed out that at present domestic about 8 m textile and clothing export enterprises, export enterprises in the number of total amount is larger, continue to the fierce international competition will make those who resist risk ability, has the comprehensive strength of large enterprises.Just at the Canton fair in May, Sue beauty, cathay Pacific and other large order of superior enterprises growth remains even by 17% ~ 20% growth.As the market reshuffle continued, orders will continue to focus to good big advantage enterprises, market polarization trend will continue.Inflection point is exports from up to down, also look at 5 ~ 6 months, because the summer intensive products delivery is 5 ~ 6 month.
Other analysts pointed out that the export amount of or related to the textile raw material price fluctuations, the represented by cotton prices of raw materials, is a decline in total exports, one of the factors.Also, the number of export products according to the different kinds of change to do concrete analysis, thus determine whether export inflection point really come.